Red Team

Built for General Mike Flynn · Board Chair, America's Future

A decision stress-tester — run a pre-mortem on any plan, rank what could go wrong, and set the tripwires to watch.

Decision

Pre-mortem · attack your own plan

Announce the 80th partnership publicly next week

Joint announcement with a marquee partner ahead of the Anniversary Summit. High visibility, fixed date, press invited.

1 critical

60%

armed

3/5

tripwires armed

16/25

top residual risk

PROCEED WITH CAUTION

5 failure modes surfaced

⚑ 1 critical risk

This is built to attack your own plan first. List the ways it could fail, rank each by likelihood × impact, name what an adversary would exploit, then set the tripwire you'll watch for. It attacks the plan, not the people — and your decision context stays on this device.

Add a failure mode

CategoryLikelihood — 3Impact — 3

score9

Ranked highest-risk first · likelihood × impact

#1Embargo breaks early and a leak controls the framing16

TimingL4 × I4Critical● tripwire armed

#2Message gets misquoted or quote-mined in the press12

MessageL4 × I3Elevated● tripwire armed

#3Partner backs out after the announcement is public10

PartnerL2 × I5Elevatedtail risk · low-odds / high-cost● tripwire armed

#4Internal team not aligned on talking points6

TeamL3 × I2Watch○ tripwire set, not armed

#5Venue AV / logistics fail on the day4

OpsL2 × I2Watch○ tripwire set, not armed

Surfaced anyway: Partner backs out after the announcement is public. This is alow-probability but high-consequence — they can score below the critical line yet still end the plan. Don't let the math bury them.

Showcase demo for the America's Future 80th Anniversary Summit. Showcase · best home: Nonprofit. Seeded with realistic sample data; runs payment-dark (no billing). Not a production system.